The big freeze – effects of the personal allowance steady state
The personal allowance has been frozen at its current amount of £12,570 since the tax year 2021/22. We take a look at what this policy means for those with lower incomes.
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Background
The personal allowance is the amount that taxpayers can deduct from their taxable income before calculating income tax. It means they can have a certain amount of taxable income each year without having to pay tax on it.
Historically, the UK Government would increase the personal allowance annually. For example, the UK Government increased the personal allowance from £12,500 in 2020/21 to £12,570 in 2021/22, which was an inflationary increase – with inflation measured by the Consumer Price Index.
In March 2021, the then UK Government announced that the personal allowance would be fixed at £12,570 for the tax years 2021/22 to 2025/26 inclusive. This was followed by a further announcement in November 2022, that the personal allowance would remain at £12,570 for tax years up to and including 2027/28. This means that by April 2028, the personal allowance will have been frozen at the same level for seven tax years.
As a result of this freeze, the personal allowance has not increased in line with inflation or the cost of living since April 2021 yet since April 2021, there has been a significant level of inflation – over 20%. This has resulted in a phenomenon known as fiscal drag.
Fiscal drag
Fiscal drag occurs when income growth linked to inflation pushes taxpayers into higher tax brackets, resulting in an increased tax take for the government without them having to raise tax rates. It often happens when the government does not adjust thresholds or allowances for inflation. This is because, if a taxpayer’s income rises due to inflation, but the thresholds or allowances do not rise, a greater proportion of the taxpayer’s income will be subject to income tax and / or a higher rate of income tax.
As we can see from the example, someone who only sees inflationary or cost of living increases in their gross income faces a tax increase in 2025/26 as compared to 2021/22, because of the frozen personal allowance. Since the cost of living has also increased, the taxpayer may well feel worse off financially in 2025/26 than they did in 2021/22, despite being on a higher salary.
State pension
In a previous blog post, we looked at the effects on state pensioners of the interaction between the increase in the state pension and the freezing of the personal allowance. We also put forward some suggestions for the government that could make things easier for state pensioners.
The state pension increases each tax year. There is a ‘triple lock’ guarantee that means the state pension rises annually by the highest of 2.5%, inflation or wage growth. This effectively guarantees an annual rise of at least 2.5%.
The triple lock guarantee is of benefit to state pensioners, but there can be complications for state pensioners when it is placed in combination with the ongoing freeze in the personal allowance.
State pensioners who have no income other than the state pension may be finding that they have to start paying income tax, because their state pension exceeds their personal allowance. This may come as a shock to some state pensioners. Unfortunately, because the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) does not deduct income tax at source under the PAYE system, such state pensioners are likely to receive a simple assessment from HMRC after the end of the tax year. Since this tax bill may be unexpected, it may be difficult to budget for it.
Alternatively, if they have income from a private pension, they may find that HMRC adjust their PAYE tax code to collect tax on their state pension. Again, this can be confusing. It can also make it seem like the benefit of any increase in the level of the private pension is being removed.
Hardship
At LITRG, although we aren’t able to give advice to individual taxpayers, we often receive queries from the general public. We are increasingly seeing concerns raised by individuals who are struggling to meet their living costs.
The impact of the freezes is often greater, proportionately, on those individuals with lower incomes. Some of these individuals may be eligible for means-tested benefits. But the interactions between benefits and the tax system can often mean that there is significant complexity; and in some cases, the end result is little or no net benefit. Increasing the personal allowance may not be the best way of assisting people on low incomes who are claiming means-tested benefits such as universal credit. This is because when determining entitlement to universal credit, the DWP takes into account net income (after income tax). The basic position is that in most cases a universal credit award will increase if the claimant’s net income after tax decreases and the award will decrease if their net income after tax increases. Taper rates apply depending on the type of income concerned.
For more information about universal credit, visit our benefits guidance.
Final thoughts
At LITRG, we are in favour of consultation on tax policy, as this allows various stakeholders, including members of the public, to put forward their views. Importantly, it also allows organisations like LITRG to think about the practical and operational impacts of policy proposals. Reviews of policies that are already in place can also be helpful in determining whether they are meeting their objectives or leading to unintended consequences. Perhaps now it is time for the government to review the effects of the personal allowance freeze.
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